Knowledge Series: October Surprise

October 6, 2020

This year has already been an exceptional year for surprises from COVID and Lockdowns to crashing economies, and now we have the US Elections. 

The run up to the elections have already started with news of Trump’s COVID results coming positive. What more do we have in store for the “October Surprise” in the much anticipated US Elections of 2020?


Here is a look at the US Equity markets over the last 30 years in the month of October, in an Election Year versus a Non- Election Year.

Knowledge Series: The RSI Technical Indicator

May 11, 2020

Relative Strength Index or RSI is a price momentum oscillator used widely in Technical Analysis of stock prices. This series strives to explain practical application of RSI without going into nuance of mathematics in constructing RSI.

RSI should be applied in conjunction with the current state of stock as RSI behaves differently in trending stock and in range bound stock. Thus RSI behaviour can provide insight into Trending/Trendless state of Stocks and Indices.

Please read the complete report to understand the importance of this indicator with stock examples.

Knowledge Series: COVID-19 Crisis – India VIX and Market Returns

April 3, 2020

We have all been reading about India VIX in the news. But what is VIX and what does it really mean?

In a nutshell, India VIX is a volatility index based on the NIFTY Index Option prices. The index measure the expected market volatility over the next 30 calendar days.

Read our complete article to understand how COVID affected India VIX.

Knowledge Series: Earnings Yield, G-Sec Yield & Market Returns

March 25, 2020

A comparison of the yield between the two capital instruments, equity and debt, can be used to assess the risk-reward for investing. This tool has been a very important indicator to identify the bottom of the equity market. Whenever the earnings yield has crossed bond yields, healthy equity returns have followed.

In the last 20 years, this is the third instance where this has happened. Read on to know more…

Knowledge Series: Realtime Evidence of Fibonacci Retracement in NIFTY50

March 13, 2020

Nonetheless on Friday the 13th

In mathematics, the Fibonacci numbers form a sequence called the Fibonacci sequence, such that each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting from 0 and 1. The beginning of the sequence is thus 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21 …

Fibonacci numbers appear in nature often enough to prove that they reflect some naturally occurring patterns. They appear in biological settings, such as branching in trees, arrangement of leaves on a stem, the fruitlets of a pineapple, the flowering of artichoke, an uncurling fern, the arrangement of a pine cone and the family tree of honeybees.

The numbers can also be applied in modelling financial markets by using retracement ratios derived from the sequence. Fibonacci Retracement highlights levels which help us identify potential reversal area thus identifying potential entry point after a pullback.

Today’s sharp pullback of Nifty50 from critical retracement level shows the efficacy of the Fibonacci phenomena in our financial markets.